Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.201123 0.233809 0.270176 0.313653 0.364242 0.421281 0.490523
2025-03-16 0.148491 0.191419 0.244353 0.314495 0.405139 0.518526 0.671475
2025-03-23 0.122555 0.169578 0.231796 0.320289 0.443226 0.608451 0.848226
2025-03-30 0.101393 0.148592 0.214718 0.314349 0.461162 0.670376 0.992704
2025-04-06 0.086637 0.133425 0.202297 0.311374 0.480536 0.734174 1.145820
2025-04-13 0.076062 0.122448 0.193810 0.311996 0.503878 0.805012 1.317159
2025-04-20 0.070378 0.117999 0.194293 0.325945 0.548897 0.913813 1.561829
2025-04-27 0.065063 0.113261 0.193429 0.337122 0.590158 1.020774 1.816749
2025-05-04 0.060209 0.108550 0.191816 0.346464 0.628926 1.127489 2.084392
2025-05-11 0.054959 0.102393 0.186819 0.348939 0.655390 1.215180 2.328329
2025-05-18 0.049630 0.095370 0.179337 0.345733 0.670637 1.283706 2.544377
2025-05-25 0.044178 0.087414 0.169139 0.335992 0.671956 1.325701 2.713501
2025-06-01 0.041566 0.084738 0.168810 0.345763 0.713436 1.451757 3.071052
2025-06-08 0.038240 0.080234 0.164402 0.346851 0.737641 1.546660 3.377989
2025-06-15 0.035827 0.077287 0.162720 0.353246 0.773487 1.669456 3.760563
2025-06-22 0.032483 0.071942 0.155423 0.346686 0.780481 1.731609 4.017033
2025-06-29 0.029798 0.067698 0.149952 0.343400 0.794186 1.809800 4.320212
2025-07-06 0.027709 0.064532 0.146453 0.344087 0.816927 1.910823 4.690420
2025-07-13 0.026887 0.064170 0.149177 0.359493 0.875992 2.102699 5.306388
2025-07-20 0.025889 0.063272 0.150553 0.371838 0.929209 2.287149 5.929207
2025-07-27 0.024822 0.062074 0.151080 0.382156 0.978689 2.468506 6.569122
2025-08-03 0.023380 0.059778 0.148696 0.384890 1.009288 2.606454 7.113999
2025-08-10 0.021713 0.056718 0.144085 0.381348 1.023145 2.703264 7.561295